Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.001249 0.001404 0.001559 0.001725 0.001897 0.002071 0.002258
2025-10-26 0.000994 0.001216 0.001446 0.001698 0.001967 0.002241 0.002543
2025-11-02 0.000791 0.001062 0.001350 0.001674 0.002026 0.002391 0.002798
2025-11-09 0.000632 0.000938 0.001275 0.001662 0.002089 0.002539 0.003045
2025-11-16 0.000505 0.000838 0.001215 0.001660 0.002156 0.002686 0.003287
2025-11-23 0.000401 0.000752 0.001165 0.001660 0.002222 0.002828 0.003519
2025-11-30 0.000345 0.000718 0.001170 0.001721 0.002352 0.003036 0.003822
2025-12-07 0.000265 0.000644 0.001121 0.001715 0.002403 0.003155 0.004024
2025-12-14 0.000185 0.000558 0.001052 0.001679 0.002417 0.003230 0.004174
2025-12-21 0.000144 0.000523 0.001041 0.001711 0.002506 0.003386 0.004412
2025-12-28 0.000089 0.000452 0.000981 0.001680 0.002518 0.003454 0.004551
2026-01-04 0.000057 0.000410 0.000954 0.001687 0.002574 0.003569 0.004740
2026-01-11 0.000016 0.000338 0.000896 0.001669 0.002620 0.003697 0.004971
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000272 0.000838 0.001651 0.002667 0.003826 0.005205
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000212 0.000782 0.001633 0.002711 0.003953 0.005437
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000163 0.000735 0.001624 0.002766 0.004090 0.005681
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000124 0.000697 0.001623 0.002829 0.004237 0.005935
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000091 0.000663 0.001625 0.002893 0.004383 0.006187
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000080 0.000672 0.001686 0.003031 0.004615 0.006535
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000053 0.000636 0.001681 0.003083 0.004745 0.006766
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000025 0.000582 0.001645 0.003096 0.004827 0.006940
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000015 0.000575 0.001678 0.003193 0.005007 0.007227
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000002 0.000527 0.001646 0.003208 0.005088 0.007397